Liberty
W-L: (41-21) PR = 96.1496Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 7- 3 214 A The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 3- 4 215 A The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 5- 4 220 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 0-16 221 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 0- 2 221 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 4- 1 225 H High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 9- 3 227 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 7- 2 228 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 13- 2 301 H Hofstra CA (19-33, 92.5) 10- 7 303 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 8- 5 306 A Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 0- 8, 86.5) 9- 1 307 H Harvard IVY ( 2- 9, 91.1) 11- 7 308 H Harvard IVY ( 2- 9, 91.1) 5- 4 310 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 12-10 313 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 3- 4 314 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 11-12 315 H Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 9- 3 317 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 0-11 318 A Northern Colorado BS ( 2- 7, 89.1) 12- 4 320 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 2- 0 321 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 11-11 322 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 3- 4 324 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 6- 7 327 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 4- 3 328 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 7- 1 329 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 13- 0 331 A NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 7- 5 402 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 8- 3 403 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 6- 2 404 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 6- 5 407 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 11- 4 410 A UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 4- 5 411 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 7- 6 412 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 4- 2 414 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 17- 7 417 A Dallas Baptist 17- 3 418 A Dallas Baptist 6- 7 419 A Dallas Baptist 9- 8 421 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 13-10 422 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 4- 5 424 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 4- 5 425 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 11- 5 426 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 14- 4 428 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 12- 2 502 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 9- 7 503 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 7- 4 506 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 4- 8 508 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 3- 9 509 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 6- 9 510 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 3- 2 512 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 5- 7 514 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 1- 2 515 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 10- 4 516 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 8- 7 521 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 10- 4 522 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 6- 0 524 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 0-10 529 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 4- 3 530 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 2- 6 530 H Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 2- 6 531 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 1- 6 531 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 8- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A The Citadel 7- 3 4 1 + 3.47
214 A The Citadel 3- 4 -1 1 -1.53
215 A The Citadel 5- 4 1 1 0.47
220 A Rutgers 0-16 -16 2 --- -15.58
221 H West Virginia 0- 2 -2 -1 -0.68
221 H West Virginia 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.32
225 H High Point 9- 3 6 4 + 2.45
227 H Hofstra 7- 2 5 4 0.64
228 H Hofstra 13- 2 11 4 +++ 6.64
301 H Hofstra 10- 7 3 4 -1.36
303 H Louisville 8- 5 3 1 + 2.38
306 A Prairie View A&M 9- 1 8 9 -0.98
307 H Harvard 11- 7 4 6 -1.77
308 H Harvard 5- 4 1 6 -- -4.77
310 A UNC Greensboro 12-10 2 4 -1.54
313 H Missouri State 3- 4 -1 1 -1.52
314 H Missouri State 11-12 -1 1 -1.52
315 H Missouri State 9- 3 6 1 ++ 5.48
317 A Wake Forest 0-11 -11 -2 --- -9.21
318 A Northern Colorado 12- 4 8 6 1.66
320 A Kennesaw State 2- 0 2 1 1.20
321 H Texas State 11-11 0 2 -1.81
322 A Kennesaw State 3- 4 -1 1 -1.80
324 H UNC Greensboro 6- 7 -1 5 -- -5.89
327 H Florida International 4- 3 1 4 - -3.05
328 H Florida International 7- 1 6 4 1.95
329 H Florida International 13- 0 13 4 +++ 8.95
331 A NC State 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.91
402 A Western Kentucky 8- 3 5 1 + 3.88
403 A Western Kentucky 6- 2 4 1 + 2.88
404 A Western Kentucky 6- 5 1 1 -0.12
407 A Virginia Tech 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.82
410 A UNC Wilmington 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.16
411 H Jacksonville State 7- 6 1 0 1.26
412 H Jacksonville State 4- 2 2 0 + 2.26
414 A Duke 17- 7 10 1 +++ 9.02
421 H Duke 13-10 3 2 0.67
422 A Virginia 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.37
424 H Delaware 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.69
425 H Delaware 11- 5 6 5 1.31
426 H Delaware 14- 4 10 5 ++ 5.31
428 H Charlotte 12- 2 10 3 +++ 7.29
502 A New Mexico State 9- 7 2 3 -0.59
503 A New Mexico State 7- 4 3 3 0.41
506 H Virginia Tech 4- 8 -4 2 -- -5.53
508 H Louisiana Tech 3- 9 -6 2 --- -8.16
509 H Louisiana Tech 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.16
510 H Louisiana Tech 3- 2 1 2 -1.16
512 H Wake Forest 5- 7 -2 0 -1.56
514 H Jacksonville 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.19
515 H Pittsburgh 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.54
516 A Middle Tennessee 8- 7 1 2 -1.04
521 A Sam Houston 10- 4 6 2 + 3.97
522 H Louisiana Tech 6- 0 6 2 + 3.84
524 A Jacksonville State 0-10 -10 -2 --- -8.39
529 A Boston College 4- 3 1 0 1.39
530 H Georgia 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.88
530 H Georgia 2- 6 -4 -2 -1.88
531 A Georgia 1- 6 -5 -3 -1.53
531 H Boston College 8- 3 5 1 ++ 4.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Rutgers 0-16 -16 2 --- -15.58 317 A Wake Forest 0-11 -11 -2 --- -9.21 508 H Louisiana Tech 3- 9 -6 2 --- -8.16 524 A Jacksonville State 0-10 -10 -2 --- -8.39 308 H Harvard 5- 4 1 6 -- -4.77 324 H UNC Greensboro 6- 7 -1 5 -- -5.89 424 H Delaware 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.69 506 H Virginia Tech 4- 8 -4 2 -- -5.53 509 H Louisiana Tech 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.16 514 H Jacksonville 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.19 327 H Florida International 4- 3 1 4 - -3.05 410 A UNC Wilmington 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Hofstra 13- 2 11 4 +++ 6.64 329 H Florida International 13- 0 13 4 +++ 8.95 407 A Virginia Tech 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.82 414 A Duke 17- 7 10 1 +++ 9.02 428 H Charlotte 12- 2 10 3 +++ 7.29 221 H West Virginia 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.32 315 H Missouri State 9- 3 6 1 ++ 5.48 426 H Delaware 14- 4 10 5 ++ 5.31 515 H Pittsburgh 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.54 531 H Boston College 8- 3 5 1 ++ 4.04 213 A The Citadel 7- 3 4 1 + 3.47 225 H High Point 9- 3 6 4 + 2.45 303 H Louisville 8- 5 3 1 + 2.38 331 A NC State 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.91 402 A Western Kentucky 8- 3 5 1 + 3.88 403 A Western Kentucky 6- 2 4 1 + 2.88 412 H Jacksonville State 4- 2 2 0 + 2.26 521 A Sam Houston 10- 4 6 2 + 3.97 522 H Louisiana Tech 6- 0 6 2 + 3.84 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 7- 3 -4.96 13.47 0.68 0.48 13.63
3 A The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 3- 4 -4.96 13.47 0.68 0.48 -1.03
3 A The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 5- 4 -4.96 13.47 0.68 0.48 13.63
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 0-16 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.48 -1.28
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 0- 2 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.48 -0.58
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 4- 1 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.48 15.42
3 H High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 9- 3 -6.62 11.80 -0.68 0.48 10.73
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 7- 2 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.48 9.94
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 13- 2 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.48 9.94
3 H Hofstra (19-33, 92.5) 10- 7 -7.44 10.99 -0.68 0.48 9.94
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 8- 5 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.48 13.55
3 A Prairie View A ( 0- 8, 86.5) 9- 1 -13.41 5.02 0.68 0.48 5.49
3 H Harvard ( 2- 9, 91.1) 11- 7 -8.84 9.58 -0.68 0.48 8.59
3 H Harvard ( 2- 9, 91.1) 5- 4 -8.84 9.58 -0.68 0.48 8.59
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 12-10 -7.96 10.46 0.68 0.48 10.74
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 3- 4 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.48 -1.03
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 11-12 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.48 -1.03
3 H Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 9- 3 -3.59 14.83 -0.68 0.48 13.65
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 0-11 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.48 -0.47
3 A Northern Color ( 2- 7, 89.1) 12- 4 -10.76 7.66 0.68 0.48 8.04
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 2- 0 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.48 13.38
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 11-11 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.48 0.00
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 3- 4 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.48 -1.10
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 6- 7 -7.96 10.46 -0.68 0.48 -2.08
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 4- 3 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.48 10.25
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 7- 1 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.48 10.25
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 13- 0 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.48 10.25
3 A NC State (34-21, 96.4) 7- 5 -3.52 14.91 0.68 0.48 15.02
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 8- 3 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.48 13.07
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 6- 2 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.48 13.07
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 6- 5 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.48 13.07
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 11- 4 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.48 13.98
3 A UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 4- 5 -5.59 12.84 0.68 0.48 -1.18
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 7- 6 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.48 14.40
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 4- 2 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.48 14.40
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 17- 7 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.48 13.21
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 13-10 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.48 11.90
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 4- 5 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.48 -0.75
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 4- 5 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.48 -2.03
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 11- 5 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.48 9.63
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 14- 4 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.48 9.63
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 12- 2 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.48 11.53
3 A New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 9- 7 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.48 11.65
3 A New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 7- 4 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.48 11.65
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 4- 8 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.48 -1.27
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 3- 9 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.48 -1.42
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 6- 9 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.48 -1.42
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.48 12.06
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 5- 7 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 0.48 -0.80
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 1- 2 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.48 -1.67
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 10- 4 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.48 13.70
3 A Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 8- 7 -6.47 11.96 0.68 0.48 12.18
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 10- 4 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.48 12.19
3 H Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 6- 0 -5.24 13.19 -0.68 0.48 12.06
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 0-10 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.48 -0.52
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 4- 3 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.48 14.52
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 2- 6 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.48 -0.39
3 H Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 2- 6 -0.95 17.47 -0.68 0.48 -0.39
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 1- 6 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.48 -0.07
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 8- 3 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.48 13.22
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441.60
|
winning pts = 462.1351 losing points = -20.5382
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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